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Nvidia or Tesla: The Smarter Portfolio Addition

 

Nvidia Corp.’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) impressive second-quarter earnings release was met with a cautious market response, influenced by the anticipation of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s imminent speech at the Jackson Hole event.

Despite an intraday surge of 6.5%, Nvidia’s shares settled with a modest 0.10% gain, closing at $471.63.

Key Takeaways from Q2: Nvidia’s optimistic third-quarter guidance surpassed Wall Street’s expectations, prompting analysts to revise their fiscal year 2024 projections upwards.

Analysts now forecast a consensus earnings per share estimate of $16.68 for the fiscal year, a significant climb from the pre-second-quarter estimate of $11.50, according to FactSet data featured in Barron’s.

Valuation Insight: The revised projections place Nvidia’s price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple at 28.28, an appealing valuation when compared to industry peer Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA).

Tesla’s forward P/E multiple of 48.13, based on the consensus earnings per share estimate of $4.78 for fiscal year 2023, highlights a divergence in valuation metrics.

Divergent Paths: Notwithstanding Nvidia’s remarkable year-to-date growth of over 222%, experts emphasize its untapped potential within the realm of artificial intelligence (AI).

Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives underscored, “Nvidia’s guidance and commentary was at ‘drop the mic’ level as investors now recognize crystal clear this AI demand story is as REAL as any tech trend we have seen in the last 30 years, only comparable to the Internet in 1995 and Apple’s iPhone launch in 2007.”

Shifting Landscape: Tesla, in contrast, navigates a dynamic landscape. Formerly dominant in the electric vehicle arena, the company contends with new entrants and traditional automakers vying for EV market share.

Challenges and Prospects: Tesla’s growth trajectory faces headwinds from the current economic climate and higher interest rates affecting EV adoption. Yet, the company’s supporters highlight the impending release of the Cybertruck, a potential budget EV model, and advancements in self-driving software as catalysts for improved earnings estimates.

Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest sets an ambitious $2,000 price target for Tesla by 2027, propelled by the anticipated launch of the Robotaxi service, a significant factor in their bullish outlook.

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